TABLE OF CONTENTS
1. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY 1
2. INTRODUCTION 4
2.1 Definitions 5
2.2 Methodology 5
2.3 Abbreviations 6
2.4 Market Positioning 6
2.5 UK Economy 8
2.6 Market Factors 12
3. MARKET SIZE AND TRENDS 17
3.1 Chapter Summary 18
3.2 Market Size 18
3.3 Market Segmentation 23
3.3.1 Overview 23
3.3.2 Residential Homes 24
3.3.2.1 Private Homes 26
3.3.2.2 Local Authority Homes 29
3.3.2.3 Voluntary Homes 32
3.3.3 Nursing Homes 33
3.3.3.1 Private Homes 35
3.3.3.2 Voluntary Homes 36
3.3.4 Sheltered Housing 38
3.4 Market Trends 41
3.5 Regional Analysis 46
3.5.1 England 47
3.5.2 Scotland 48
3.5.3 Wales 50
3.5.4 Northern Ireland 51
4. SUPPLIER OPPORTUNITIES 55
4.1 Chapter Summary 56
4.2 Opportunities 56
5. INDUSTRY STRUCTURE 60
5.1 Chapter Summary 61
5.2 Industry Development 61
5.3 Market Shares 63
5.4 Company Profiles 65
5.4.1 Abbeyfield Society 66
5.4.2 Anchor Trust 67
5.4.3 BUPA 70
5.4.4 BUPA Care Homes (ANS) 73
5.4.5 BUPA Care Homes (CFG) 76
5.4.6 BUPA Care Homes (GL) 77
5.4.7 Care UK 78
5.4.8 Craegmoor 81
5.4.9 Four Seasons (JDM) 82
5.4.10 Tamaris Healthcare (England) 85
5.4.11 Hanover Group 86
5.4.12 McCarthy & Stone (Developments) 89
5.4.13 Southern Cross Healthcare Group 90
5.4.14 Ashbourne Homes 92
5.4.15 Exceler Healthcare Services 93
5.4.16 Trinity Care 94
5.4.17 Southern Cross Care Homes No. 2 96
5.4.18 Westminster Health Care 97
6. FORECAST 99
6.1 Chapter Summary 100
6.2 The Market 100
7. FURTHER SOURCES & CONTACTS 108
7.1 Trade Associations & Organisations 109
7.2 Trade Magazines 109
7.3 Trade Exhibitions 111
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LIST OF TABLES
1: Elderly Population in the UK, by Country, 1971, 1981, 1991 & 2007 7
2: The UK Residential Accommodation for the Elderly Market, by Value, 2004-2008 20
3: The UK Residential Accommodation for the Elderly Market, by Number of Homes,
2004-2008 21
4: The UK Residential Accommodation for the Elderly Market, by Number of Places,
2004-2008 22
5: Segmentation of the UK Residential Market for the Elderly, by Type of Accommodation, 2004-2008 24
6: Analysis of the Development of the UK Residential Market for the Elderly, 2004-2008 25
7: Analysis of the Development of the UK Private Residential Market for the Elderly,
2004-2008 27
8: Proportional Importance of Private Homes to the Residential Market for the Elderly,
2004-2008 28
9: Analysis of the Development of the UK Local Authority Residential Market for the
Elderly, 2004-2008 30
10: Proportional Importance of Local Authorities to the Residential Market for the Elderly,
2004-2008 31
11: Analysis of the Development of the UK Voluntary Homes Residential Market for the
Elderly, 2004-2008 32
12: Proportional Importance of Voluntary Homes to the Residential Market for the Elderly,
2004-2008 33
13: Analysis of the Development of the UK Nursing Homes Market for the Elderly,
2004-2008 34
14: Analysis of the Development of the UK Private Nursing Homes for the Elderly,
2004-2008 35
15: Proportional Importance of the Private Sector to the Nursing Homes Market,
2004-2008 36
16: Analysis of the Development of the UK Voluntary Nursing Homes for the Elderly,
2004-2008 37
17: Proportional Importance of the Voluntary Sector to the Nursing Homes Market,
2004-2008 38
18: The Development of Sheltered Housing in England, 2004-2008 39
19: The Development of Local Authority Sheltered Housing in England, 2004-2008 40
20: The Development of Housing Association Sheltered Housing in England, 2004-2008 40
21: The Development of Private Sheltered Housing in England, 2004-2008 41
22: The Development Public Sector Sheltered Housing in Scotland, 2004-2008 41
23: Retirement Homes Starts in England and Wales, by Region, 2005-2008 47
24: Council Supported Residents Aged Over 65 in CASSR and Independent Care Homes,
2008 48
25: Analysis of Number of Care Homes and Registered Places in Care Homes for Older
People in Scotland, by Local Authority, 2008 49
26: Analysis of the Number of Registered Places by Local Authority and Type of Provider,
in Scotland, 2008 50
27: Older People in Residential and Nursing Placements in Care Homes in Wales, 2008 51
28: Analysis of Statutory Residential Accommodation for the Elderly in Northern Ireland,
by HSS Trust, 2007 52
29: Analysis of Private Residential Accommodation for the Elderly in Northern Ireland, by
HSS Trust, 2007 52
30: Analysis of Voluntary Residential Accommodation for the Elderly in Northern Ireland,
by HSS Trust, 2007 53
31: Analysis of Dual Registered Residential Accommodation for the Elderly in Northern
Ireland, by HSS Trust, 2007 53
32: Analysis of Major Providers of Private Homes in the UK, 1998-2008 64
33: Analysis of Major Providers of Private Places in the UK, 1998-2008 64
34: Analysis of Major Providers of Voluntary Homes and Places in the UK, 1998-2008 65
35: Financial Analysis of Abbeyfield Society, 2003-2007 66
36: Key Financial Ratios for Abbeyfield Society, 2003-2007 67
37: Financial Analysis of Anchor Trust, 2004-2008 68
38: Divisional Analysis of Anchor Trust, by Sector, 2007-2008 69
39: Key Financial Ratios for Anchor Trust, 2004-2008 69
40: Financial Analysis of BUPA, 2003-2007 72
41: Divisional Analysis of BUPA, 2006 and 2007 72
42: Key Financial Ratios for BUPA, 2003-2007 73
43: Financial Analysis of ANS, 2001-2005 74
44: Key Financial Ratios for ANS, 2001-2005 74
45: Financial Analysis of BUPA Care Homes (ANS), 2004-2007 75
46: Key Financial Ratios for BUPA Care Homes (ANS), 2004-2007 76
47: Financial Analysis of BUPA Care Homes (CFG), 2004-2008 76
48: Key Financial Ratios for BUPA Care Homes (CFG), 2003-2007 77
49: Financial Analysis of Bupa Care Homes (GL), 2003-2007 78
50: Key Financial Ratios for Bupa Care Homes (GL), 2003-2007 78
51: Financial Analysis of Care UK, 2004-2008 80
52: Key Financial Ratios for Care UK, 2004-2008 80
53: Financial Analysis of Craegmoor, 2003-2007 81
54: Key Financial Ratios for Craegmoor, 2003-2007 82
55: Financial Analysis of Four Seasons (JDM), 2002-2004 83
56: Key Financial Ratios for Four Seasons (JDM), 2002-2004 84
57: Financial Analysis of Four Seasons Health Care, 2004-2006 84
58: Key Financial Ratios for Four Seasons Health Care, 2004-2006 85
59: Financial Analysis of Tamaris Healthcare (England), 2003-2007 85
60: Key Financial Ratios for Tamaris Healthcare (England), 2003-2007 86
61: Financial Analysis of the Hanover Housing Association, 2003-2007 87
62: Financial Analysis of Hanover Property Management, 2003-2007 88
63: Key Financial Ratios for Hanover Property Management, 2003-2007 88
64: Financial Analysis of McCarthy & Stone (Developments), 2003-2007 89
65: Key Financial Ratios for McCarthy & Stone (Developments), 2003-2007 90
66: Financial Analysis of Southern Cross Healthcare Group, 2005-2007 91
67: Key Financial Ratios for Southern Cross Healthcare Group, 2005-2008 91
68: Financial Analysis of Ashbourne Homes, 2003-2007 92
69: Key Financial Ratios for Ashbourne Homes, 2003-2007 93
70: Financial Analysis of Exceler Healthcare Services, 2003-2007 93
71: Key Financial Ratios for Exceler Healthcare Services, 2003-2007 94
72: Financial Analysis of Trinity Care, 2003-2007 95
73: Key Financial Ratios for Trinity Care, 2003-2007 95
74: Financial Analysis of Southern Cross Care Homes No.2, 2003-2007 96
75: Key Financial Ratios for Southern Cross Care Homes No.2, 2003-2007 96
76: Financial Analysis of Westminster Health Care, 2003-2007 97
77: Key Financial Ratios for Westminster Health Care, 2003-2007 98
78: Forecast Population in the UK, 2008-2046 101
79: Forecast UK Residential Care Home Places for the Elderly Market, by Number of
Places, 2009-2013 106
80: Forecast UK Nursing Home Places for the Elderly Market, by Number of Places,
2009-2013 106
81: Forecast UK Sheltered Housing Units, 2009-2013 107
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